Federal election: It will be close but O’Dowd is in front
MOST people who bet against the bookmakers lose and with recent polling data on who will take out the seat of Flynn, it would take a brave person to bet against sitting member Ken O'Dowd.
At the last election Mr O'Dowd took out 56.5% of the vote, beating Labor's Chris 'CT' Trevor by a little over 10,000 votes.
And although six of the national pollsters have predicted a swing against Mr O'Dowd, he still comes out in front ahead of new comer and Labor's candidate Zac Beers.
Almost all of the pollsters predict the outcome of the next election will either be a hung parliament or won by Labor, with Mr O'Dowd retaining his seat by 3%.
"If it's 3% then there's only so much I can do," Mr O'Dowd said.
"A lot will have to do with what happens in Canberra, and the debates between Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten.
"There are a few unknowns and it will be interesting to see where the people who voted for Palmer [United Party] last time vote," he said.
But Mr O'Dowd wasn't reading too much into the polls and said that it took a fair bit to dislodge a sitting member.
"You never take anything for granted, though, voters in Australia are swinging voters and can go from Liberal to Labor at a drop of the hat," Mr O'Dowd said.
"It will always be up to what I can do."