Confusion reigns in Gladstone's election result cliffhanger

CONFUSION reigns among Flynn voters, with news outlets across Central Queensland and the nation calling it a win for both Zac Beers and Ken O'Dowd at different times.

But at Sunday lunchtime neither party is prepared to call it.

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>>LIVE RESULTS | UPDATE: 'Too close to call': Postal votes to decide Flynn cliffhanger

>>LISTEN: I'm in with a 'fighting chance': Flynn's One Nation candidate

NOT HAPPY: Member for Flynn Ken O'Dowd used sharp words to describe the banking industry during his campaign.
NOT HAPPY: Member for Flynn Ken O'Dowd used sharp words to describe the banking industry during his campaign. Paul Braven

The ABC's search for a certain result in Flynn saw it last night call it an LNP "retain", but this morning has changed its stance to a Labor gain.

Prior to the election, the ABC was calling it a "safe LNP" seat, with Mr O'Dowd holding a 6.5% margin, but an 8.12% swing against Mr O'Dowd so far has upset that prediction.

The ABC predicts Labor's Zac Beers will win Flynn.
The ABC predicts Labor's Zac Beers will win Flynn.

Former vice president of the Federal Liberal Party and chair of Menzies research centre last night questioned the accuracy of the ABC's predictions on The Drum, as it gave the LNP 73 seats to Labor's 66 before changing it to 72 seats to 67.

The Observer readers' also voiced their confusion on our Facebook page yesterday, saying the ABC and WIN had already given Flynn to Mr O'Dowd, while this paper's coverage reported both candidates saying it was "too close to call".

"FLYNN RESULT: LNP's Ken O'Dowd has retained the seat of Flynn for his third term," WIN News Rockhampton tweeted.

But no-one is over the line yet.

The result of the Flynn cliffhanger has boiled down to the postal vote count. 

In the 2013 election, Mr O'Dowd came out well ahead of Chris Trevor in the postal vote count, with 69% of the 8980 votes.

But the swing against Mr O'Dowd, which has put Mr Beers ahead on a two-party preferred basis at 51.6%, has meant commentators can't rely too heavily on the results of last election to predict this election result. 

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