US exports of liquefied natural gas are set to pose a competitive threat to high-cost Australian producers, even if their domestic gas prices rise, according to experts.
Brisbane Times reports New York-based Barclays investment banking vice chairman Grant Porter said the US could be self-sufficient in energy and export 80 million tonnes of LNG, but domestic US gas prices could still remain between $US4 and $US6 per million British thermal units.
US domestic prices within that range would mean US LNG exports would remain competitive against current exporters to Asia, he said.
"Even with the record winter we have had (in the US), we have worked through the gas storage inventory from two trillion to 800 million, take a look at the forward curve in the US is still $US4.50 and $US4," Mr Porter said at the APPEA oil and gas industry conference in Perth.
He said the US benchmark gas price, known as Henry Hub, would remain subdued until the US started exporting next year.
But even after that, the price wouldn't rise significantly because supply would increase from shale gas areas where wells are currently shut in.
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