News

LISTEN: Trough develops into tropical low, but stays in Gulf

If a cyclone re-intensifies off the coast of Cairns, it may head south.
If a cyclone re-intensifies off the coast of Cairns, it may head south.

UPDATE 7.40pm: 

STORM chaser Jeff Higgins has updated his forecast for the monsoonal trough in the Gulf. 

Speaking to The Observer this evening, Higgins said despite earlier modelling suggesting a number of possible scenarios with the movement of the trough, it now appears most likely to remain in the Gulf. 

It has developed into a tropical low and may further develop into a tropical cyclone.

But Higgins stressed that this is only a slight chance at this stage. 

This morning Jeff Higgins said one of a number of possible scenarios is that the trough could move to Cairns before tracking south -- although he stressed that there was only a slight chance of this occurring. 

He also said this morning a possible scenario was that it would stay in the Gulf, which is the forecast that appears to be most accurate at this stage. 

LISTEN: Jeff Higgins explains 


EARLIER:

STORM chaser Jeff Higgins has outlined possible scenarios from the monsoonal trough in the north, including one - the perfect storm scenario - where it intensifies over Gulf waters and tracks south.

He said modelling suggests it will intensify in Gulf waters, then could move across to Cairns where it would re-intensify in the Coral Sea before heading south.

But he stressed that this is just one of a number of possible scenarios. 

"It is likely to track toward the east, so then it would become an ex-TC or just remain a tropical low along the far north Queensland coast.

"We're quite confident about that forecast.

"Then also the re-intensification once it enters the Coral Sea -- that's where models start to become very divided," he said, adding that would occur on Thursday.

The storm chaser said a possible scenario is the ridge over Queensland's east coast is likely to pull the trough down.

"If you have a ridge build up over Queensland it will pull it south," he said. 

>> RELATED: BOM: Monsoonal trough could move south

That same trough may keep the possible cyclone off Queensland's coast as it tracks south toward the central coast.

But, he said, if an upper trough or a surface trough develops over central Queensland, which modelling suggest is a chance, "it may break that ridge down," he said.

"This would allow the cyclone to track in a more southerly or even south west direction.

"There is a chance of that happening later in the week.

"I guess would have to be within 300km off the coast for it to really effect the coast."

He said parts of north Queensland are expecting 400mm rain falls, showing the severity of the trough. 

>> LISTEN: Higgins: 'Wet season has just begun' 

*Note: This story was originally published with the headline: 'Trough to become cyclone, track south'

Topics:  central queensland, editors picks, gladstone, wildweather



WATCH: Gladstone crabber losing livelihood to theives

Alan Grayson is furious with the ongoing thefts of crabs and pots in the region.

GLADSTONE crabber warns off fish and pot thieves in Boyne waterways.

32-year-old man dies in 'tragic' Bruce Hwy smash

Emergency services at the scene of a fatal two-vehicle crash involving a car and a truck at the Bruce Hwy at Benaraby.

A 32-year-old man has died in a fatal crash on the Bruce Hwy.

Local Partners

Cliff Richard to release 101st album

Sir Cliff Richard's album cover

Sir Cliff Richard is to release his 101st album

CMC Rocks faces fan backlash over date change, headliners

The 10th annual CMC Rocks festival will be headlined by The Dixie Chicks.

FANS are not happy about festival being pushed back by two weeks.

Kim Kardashian West attacked by man trying to kiss her bottom

Vitalii Sediuk targeted Gigi Hadid last week

Madonna poses naked in solidarity with Katy Perry

Madonna posted her own nude selfie on Instagram

Carlos Santana added to Bluesfest 2017 line up

Carlos Santana at Bluesfest 2013.

Calling all local black magic women

Disney to remake 'The Lion King', and it's live-action

The Lion King is coming back to movie theatres

And this time it's going to be live-action.

$40million hotel, shops development project for Mackay

Mt Pleasant hotel and retirement accommodation, proposed at 194-202 Malcomson St.

$40m development to take Mackay to 'the next level'

'Flex muscles': Gladstone suburb drops $120K

BUYERS are scooping unprecedented deals by “flexing their muscles at the table”

Few bright lights for property after mining downturn

The Gladstone Regional Council wants associated LNG companies like Bechtel to be apart of the EIS housing accommodation strategy from the outset of the projects and not mid-way through.

Tannum Sands continues to write its own property success story

Property 200m from ocean selling for just over $100K

BEACHCOMBER PARK: Work has started on a new $19.2 million development at Toogoom.

The estate's developer is offering huge discounts for early buyers.

UPDATE: Former rodeo champ's sale rained out, now back on

Larkhill local Ken Consiglio is having an auction of most of the things on his property.

'People kept showing up and we had to turn them away'

Market opens as Gladstone sellers drop prices to force sale

VENDORS are dropping the price on houses to force a sale.