News

Scientists predict big wet and floods in 2016

SCIENTISTS have forecast a "huge La Nina" to bring floods to the east coast of Australia starting in June next year following two years of hot and dry conditions.

CSIRO principal research scientist Wenju Cai has predicted a La Nina, but hopes it won't happen.

The basis of the forecast comes from modelling that shows when there is one bad El Nino or two in a row, as we have experienced, it is followed by floods.

>> Mt Larcom gauge has been recording rainfall since 1908

"In 2009-10 there were two years of El Nino and that was followed by a huge La Nina that caused flooding in China, where 250 million people were displaced, and the flooding in Brisbane," he said.

"The other ones you may recall are 1972-73 and a flood in Brisbane in 1974; 1998-99 were the same and 2000 was another huge La Nina."

The floods are a result of "how much heat is taking water out of the ocean and that determines how much water is close to the surface".

UNDERWATER: Not only were parts of Monto Rd flooded but sections of rail were also cut off by water.
UNDERWATER: Not only were parts of Monto Rd flooded but sections of rail were also cut off by water. Contributed

During El Nino the weather is on average 0.1-0.2 degrees hotter, which results in the cycle changing to La Nina.

Dr Cai and other climatologists published their research in the Nature Climate Change journal predicting the frequency of these events would change from one every 20 years to one in 10 years.

"One of the purposes of showing our results to the public is to alert people to collectively do something to change the course," he said.

"Each time we have huge droughts and floods we have huge damage to our economy and social fabric. I hope that I am wrong."

Topics:  big wet, csiro, floods, forecast, la nina, weather




Medical hub revamp to lure new specialists to region

An artist's impression on the BITS Medical Centre upgrade.

There's big changes afoot for a Boyne Island medical centre

Gladstone tradie grabs 'pure fantasy' sex toy

SEX TOY: Neil Smith was caught with a stolen sex toy.

Tradie steals pregancy test kit then returns for a fantasy sex toy

Latest deals and offers

Zumbo's Just Desserts serves up magical dishes

Gigi Falanga, left, joins hosts Adriano Zumbo and Rachel Khoo on the TV series Zumbo's Just Desserts.

ADRIANO Zumbo’s decadent creations have become prime-time viewing.

Sir Cliff Richard feels 'best' after sex abuse allegations

Sir Cliff Richard is 'back' to his best after sex abuse claims

Blac Chyna sued after car injured 2 women

Blac Chyna is being sued after her friend crashed into another car

Chris Hemsworth surprises kids at hospital as Thor

Chris Hemsworth and Tom Hiddleston surprised children at hospital

MOVIE REVIEW: War Dogs tells a fascinating true story

Miles Teller and Jonah Hill in a scene from the movie War Dogs.

DARKLY funny film examines the business side of the war on terror.

Marvel-ous: Thor actors visit sick kids at Lady Cilento

Stars of Thor: Ragnarok dropped in on patients at the hospital

ISLAND FOR SALE: Cheap Fraser Coast island drops price again

Suna Island in the Great Sandy Strait will be auctioned by Ray White Hervey Bay on Saturday morning.

This is the cheapest island you will find for sale in Australia

How a family home can fit on a 250sq m block

This is what you can build on 250m2.

Here's the floor plan of a home built on 250sq m

$100m plan for Curtis Island 'world class' luxury resort

$100 million resort: Top views at Turtle Street at Curtis Island.

"At the moment we think it meets all the town planning approvals.”

Gladstone landlords in trouble with Bechtel job losses

"If a big project was announced tomorrow I wouldn't want to see it"

Coast building approvals at seven-year high: report

The the 2015/16 Development Indicators Annual Highlights Report documents local development activity that took place during the last financial year.

New report shows increasing development on the Sunshine Coast

Top honours for Mackay and Whitsunday builders

The Kerrisdale Gardens property from Paynter Dixon Queensland which won them Project of the Year.

Mackay and Whitsunday builders awarded top honours last night.